11 7 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1261 -187 Strength Momentum |
1079 58.5(13) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.002 | 1418 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1280 | 34% | |
08/22/15 | Cleveland | 0.002 | 1414 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1328 | 35% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.006 | 1197 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1270 | 59% | |
08/28/15 | at Alamogordo ?? | 0.006 | 1055 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1118 | 71% | |
08/29/15 | at Chaparral | 0.007 | 1237 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1309 | 50% | |
09/01/15 | at Alamogordo ! | 0.002 | 1055 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1578 | 71% | |
09/03/15 | Cathedral | W 3- 0 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/10/15 | Cathedral | W 5- 0 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/12/15 | at Carlsbad !! | 0.011 | 1103 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1602 | 66% | |
09/15/15 | Silver | 0.008 | 799 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1540 | 92% | |
09/18/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.125 | 1371 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1256 | 39% | |
09/19/15 | La Cueva | 0.145 | 1218 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1230 | 58% | |
09/24/15 | Mayfield | 0.173 | 1051 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1348 | 74% | |
09/26/15 | at Onate | 0.279 | 1018 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1199 | 74% | |
10/01/15 | at Deming | 0.328 | 831 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1206 | 88% | |
10/06/15 | at Gadsden | 0.574 | 1154 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1267 | 60% | |
10/10/15 | at Mayfield | 0.702 | 1051 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1216 | 71% | |
10/15/15 | Onate | 0.625 | 1018 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1331 | 78% | |
10/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.983 | 1154 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1248 | 64% | |
10/24/15 | Deming | 0.322 | 831 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1393 | 90% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1079, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1267
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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