2015 Season results for Las Cruces (BV,3-6A)

11   7   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1261     -187
Strength     Momentum
1079   58.5(13)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   3L   2T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  15:   1+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 Rio Rancho 0.0021418L 1- 2 Expected (0)1280 34%
08/22/15 Cleveland 0.0021414T 1- 1 Better (+1)1328 35%
08/28/15 Santa Teresa 0.0061197W 1- 0 Expected (0)1270 59%
08/28/15 at Alamogordo ?? 0.0061055L 1- 2 Worse (-3)1118 71%
08/29/15 at Chaparral 0.0071237W 1- 0 Expected (+1)1309 50%
09/01/15 at Alamogordo ! 0.0021055W 8- 0 Expected (+6)1578 71%
09/03/15 Cathedral   W 3- 0 ------ ---
09/10/15 Cathedral   W 5- 0 ------ ---
09/12/15 at Carlsbad !! 0.0111103W 8- 0 Expected (+7)1602 66%
09/15/15 Silver 0.008799W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1540 92%
09/18/15 Volcano Vista 0.1251371L 2- 3 Expected (0)1256 39%
09/19/15 La Cueva 0.1451218T 0- 0 Worse (-1)1230 58%
09/24/15 Mayfield 0.1731051W 4- 0 Expected (+2)1348 74%
09/26/15 at Onate 0.2791018W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1199 74%
10/01/15 at Deming 0.328831W 3- 0 Expected (-1)1206 88%
10/06/15 at Gadsden 0.5741154W 2- 1 Expected (0)1267 60%
10/10/15 at Mayfield 0.7021051W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1216 71%
10/15/15 Onate 0.6251018W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1331 78%
10/22/15 Gadsden 0.9831154W 2- 1 Expected (0)1248 64%
10/24/15 Deming 0.322831W 7- 0 Expected (+3)1393 90%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1079, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1267
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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